2010: reshaping the global economy turning point balance – Slurry Pump EGM manuf
In 2010 a new chapter in the global economy is already started. As the global economy continues from the worst recession since World War II recovery, in terms of both countries in 2010 will be a year of challenges and opportunities coexist. Challenges include the developed economies, high unemployment and the restructuring of financial institutions in these two unfinished business. The opportunity is for a more secure and stable financial system, laying the groundwork to ensure sustained economic growth.
Loose short-and medium-term need to balance carefully
In 2010 the problems facing the world is that, even in the case of the financial crisis subsides, the global economy will greatly depend on government support. The policy dilemma is the largest in this sluggish economic environment, balancing short-and medium-term cautious liberal.
The unemployment rate is high and capacity under the conditions of a large number of idle, whether developed or emerging economies, asset price factor is more important than the consumer price; the same time, loose global liquidity will lead to asset bubbles. Secondly, in the rich countries, the huge rise in public debt will show an overwhelming trend. According to Moody's statistics, in 2007 to 2010, the global public debt will increase by about 15.3 trillion U.S. dollars, the Group of Seven of them are from the West. Before the end of 2009, Greece, Ireland and Spain and other European governments have serious financial difficulties, sovereign credit risk increased. As countries of the dramatic changes in the financial health has become increasingly clear that investors for the assessment of sovereign risk or volatility in 2010.
At the center of the financial turmoil in 2010, countries will not have too much monetary tightening moves. In particular, the Fed and the Bank of England or that interest rates are close to zero this year. But the center of the storm outside the central bank will make a rapid response of asset prices. In Israel and Australia, interest rate hikes, including Norway, Sweden and Canada will soon follow, including the State.
Treasury revenue and fiscal deficits need to balance the
Government bond markets in 2010 to bring the most severe test. Since last year, a long period of low inflation, and investors out of recession fears many would prefer to avoid risks, resulting in no corresponding government bond yields rose. U.S. Federal Reserve was forced to come out last year to buy government bonds, this act will be this year's economic recovery when it comes along with the termination of the central bank may sell part of the government bonds. If the bond yields has not been promoted, the U.S. government will need to plan in mid-2010 to reduce fiscal deficit through tax increases or spending cuts to control the fiscal deficit in the program may inhibit economic recovery. But if the U.S. government does not take action, then the market rate of return may be pushed up by the government to tighten policy to back the currency market may therefore were caught.
Commercial bank financing and the need to balance the loss of
2010 Global Banking will be through tough times. The end of 2010, the unemployment rate in most countries, businesses and consumers crime, breach of contract will be through the peak. The slow improvement in the credit cycle, however, is not sufficient to save the banks from being overwhelmed by the loss. Real estate will continue to be the number one problem that many banks, with the withdrawal of government stimulus policies, some banks will continue to be the right of cancellation of mortgage foreclosures, and once again dragged down by the threat of oversupply. According to the American Enterprise Institute estimates that in 2010 the United States will be more than 500 billion U.S. dollars of commercial real estate loans to maturity, if the U.S. commercial real estate prices continued to decline, which may lead to a lot of U.S. regional banks to suffer heavy losses or even collapse.
Bank A second problem lies with the Government's debt guarantee program is being gradually withdrawn, which means that banks are required to pay more for financing. The U.S. policy-makers to require banks to have more money to be a buffer to prevent loss, and developed a more stringent liquidity rules, these increasingly stringent regulatory rules would force banks to raise more capital.
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