Fiber supply and demand gap up to 10 million core km of price increases pressure
Market In short supply Since last year, China's optical fiber market demand show rapid upward trend. Related to fiber production Enterprise Statistical data show that the total market demand in China last year about 45 million core km, an increase of more than 20%, is the world's largest fiber-optic consumer market. The market demand and supply in China's market capacity fiber-optic companies basically the same. However, due to Beijing Olympics Will affect the market demand to really break out until the second half, so the second half of last year, our country has been very tight market supply fiber, the production company operating at full capacity are difficult to meet the market demand sky-rocketed.
Into 2009, China's telecom operators in the completion of the restructuring and 3G license issuance, driven by demand in China continued to show rapid fiber growth. 3G-building to enable telecom operators demand for optical fiber, 3G network construction in the connection between the base station, base station optical zooming Technology Applications, operators of Copper light implementation of the strategy, as well as the development of FTTH applications, have become a strong driving force optical market growth. Industry analysts believe that this year, China's three major telecom operators?? China Mobile, China Telecom and China Unicom, the market demand for the fiber of at least 38 million core km, is also possible to reach 43 million core km, together with other areas of the market demand, Expert Expected this year, China optical fiber market demand will be 54 million to 60 million core km core kilometers. This will greatly exceed our ability to supply fiber optic manufacturers, supply and demand gap will reach 10 million core km.
After years of development, China's optical fiber and cable industry has developed rapidly. At present, China has become the world's largest optical fiber and cable production base. Major fiber producers, including Wuhan Yangtze, Hangzhou Fortis, Jiangsu Zhongtian, Wuhan war, Jiangsu prosper, Shanghai-Corning, Shenzhen idiopathic Drake, live in Chengdu, Jiangsu Fasten so. Despite the growth driven by demand, many companies started preparing last year to expand fiber capacity, but production this year is difficult to fully formed. The main fiber raw material?? Optical fiber preform, it is difficult to supply capacity has recently increased significantly. Therefore, the experts predict that this year all of our fiber production capacity of enterprises should be 48 million to 50 million core km core km and, although a record level, it is still difficult to meet domestic market demand, fiber shortage has become a foregone conclusion . The view from the global market by increasing investment in emerging markets and Europe and the United States telecommunications under the national attention to the economic crisis, driven by information technology, in 2008 global sales of 159 million core km of optical fiber, an increase of 21.6%. This year, the global optical market still showed growth, the overall global capacity planning, as tight supply fiber, optical fiber market prices have generally increased.
Price increase in pressure Universal in the global fiber demand growth and tight supply, prices of the market context, China's optical fiber market prices began to rise under increasing pressure. This pressure comes from the following:
First, in recent years, China's optical fiber market prices low long run. China's telecom market last year, the average contract price of 70 yuan / core kilometers to 75 yuan / km and the core, the lower than international market prices of about 40 yuan / core kilometers, is the world's lowest. Some experts think that the prices have been affected to some extent, R & D and production of re-investment. The supply by the impact of the second half of the fiber-contract prices have started to rise, which also led to a further degree of fiber supply increase, which reflects the price of its fiber-optic prices return to normal market requirements.
Second, the trend of rising raw material prices and labor costs increase, so that our fiber optic business enterprises are facing tremendous pressure. We know that fiber drawn from the optical fiber preform, which is usually the use of different optical fiber preform by chemical vapor deposition process produced. The main raw materials, including silicon tetrachloride, helium, hydrogen, etc., of which silicon tetrachloride and helium production cost of optical fiber preform about 50%. As the world of clean energy and the growing demand for semiconductors, "silicon" materials prices is beginning to show upward trend, while the price of helium has risen in recent years, more than double, making optical fiber preform manufacturing costs, fiber preforms prices was evident. In addition, the increase in labor costs also can not be ignored. As a high-tech enterprises, enterprises need high-quality optical fiber production technology professionals, human resources has always been a high cost, coupled with our revised "labor laws," the implementation of the human costs are inevitable.
Third, China's optical fiber manufacturing enterprises are highly dependent on imported optical fiber preform of the fiber our country Product Price obvious changes in the international market prices and exchange rate effects. After a long effort, although present, China has established a scale of production and supply of optical fiber from optical fiber preform and optical fiber products to a complete industrial system, but my mature, from the fiber drawing optical fiber preform production to full production capacity of enterprises is not more, some business-related project is not yet scale production, low cost optical fiber preform manufacturing capacity to be increased, optical fiber preform a serious shortage of supply capacity. Therefore, most fiber manufacturers in China to buy a stick drawing of the production of optical fiber production. According to the survey's current products, our optical fiber preform of 20% self-sufficiency rate to 30%, and that our manufacturers need fiber optical fiber preform about 70% to 80% imported. As the global fiber supply, international market prices gradually move up the optical fiber preform made fiber manufacturer in China's import costs rise.
In addition, from the import source, our country imports most of the Japanese manufacturer of optical fiber preform products companies. Therefore, our fiber prices by exchange rate changes significantly, especially in the yen exchange rate change. From last July to January this year, the yen appreciated about 27% against the dollar, the yen appreciation against the yuan about 23%, and thus whether it is the yen or the dollar-denominated import prices of optical fiber preform products have shown a significant up. Customs statistics show that prices rose by preform the double impact of exchange rate changes and the current average import price of optical fiber preform has been compared to the year rose 20% to 30%. China's optical fiber manufacturing enterprises are facing increasing pressure of price increases.
Fourth, in the optical market, although little change in fiber type products, but customers on the performance index of optical fiber products are
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