The United States to return to the Asia-Pacific is not so terrible
Strategic adjustment of the United States to return to the Asia-Pacific region, the situation in the region in recent months to tense. Recently held in Beijing in 2012: the world change in the situation of China strategy at the annual meeting, some experts believe that the United States to return to the Asia-Pacific is not a sudden move. In fact, the United States to play the set of the Warring States era of ancient China vertical and horizontal – our ancestors to play the rest of things.
In fact, the reason why the United States to return to the Asia-Pacific region, nothing more implicit in the following two meanings: on the one hand, the development of Asia is not the United States excluded. How to develop, how to develop the United States to have the final say. The United States does not nod, Shui Yebie wanted into. At the same time, Asia’s leader in the United States but not China. Then strong momentum of China’s economic development, to neighboring countries to benefit from China’s economic development, and not let the Chinese do leaders.
On the other hand, the United States itself is a Pacific nation, the United States is a natural member of the Asia-Pacific region, the United States to return to the Asia-Pacific region, like the leadership of the “housekeeping”, China and other Asians want the Americans out of Asia, “it is impossible the. Served as the core content of the Asia-Pacific leaders “, the offshore operation becomes ashore operations, provoking Asian countries cats and dogs. Americans effortlessly, you can reap the fisherman to benefit from.
However, if the United States traveled extensively in Asia, it will conflict with China. But the U.S. does not seem to want to escape, but assumed a more active containment and oppression of the “storm” posture. Therefore, the United States to return to the Asia-Pacific region, ran the containment of China. The American idea has been supported by Japan, Korea, Australia and other allies, but also welcomed by India, Singapore, Philippines, Vietnam and other potential allies. These countries not only in guarding against China’s rise, and subtly support the United States, in order to limit China’s strategic choice.
Of course, it would like all Americans on the bright side. But the current situation, this strategy still faces many practical challenges.
First, to promote the return to the Asia-Pacific strategy, since 2010, the Obama administration to engage in a “Trans-Pacific Strategic Economic Partnership Agreement (TPP) strategy. Although Japan has joined the TPP, but in fact its domestic is still no shortage of dissenting voices. South Korea expressed the desire to join, but still worried that after accession will cause damage to Korea’s economic interests. Other countries are also worried about trying to take advantage of TPP to open their markets, and impair the economic interests of their own.
Second, Japan is an important pawn in the United States placed in the Asia Pacific region, for a long time, it became the United States in the Asia-Pacific region “mouthpiece”. However, in February 2011, the Cabinet Office published a set of data the Americans realized that they were about to lose control in the Asia-Pacific region. Japan’s nominal GDP in 2010 to 5.4742 trillion U.S. dollars in the United States, China ranked third in the world. This is also since 1968, the Japanese economy for the first time relegated to third in the world.
10 years, the U.S. successive governments as a willful child like to have large amounts of military costs in the armed forces, ships, aircraft and unmanned aerial vehicles. However, the U.S. military spending will be reduced by $ 260 billion over the next five years. In this regard, the British “Times” article on January 4 that the United States reduce military spending, the result will make the U.S. military can not simultaneously two ground wars. If you need to participate in the second war in the rest of the world, they only need to play its role is limited, you can “defeat” the enemy’s ambitions.
Some observers in the evaluation of the United States to return to the Asia-Pacific strategy, that the U.S. wants a unipolar world and a multi-polar Asia, China’s dream of a multi-polar world and a unipolar Asia. However, the U.S. did not can be used to seriously surrounded by wealthy forces it to the Asia-Pacific countries to provide what? Past the United States can provide its domestic market “, but it is now pondering how to open the Asia-Pacific” big market “.
Some people suspect that the deterioration of the surrounding environment. But in fact never left the Asia-Pacific region, there can be no “return”. The United States is now in the early presidential election, the United States there is no bright spots, so they create some bright spots in China’s peripheral, and toss in the Asia-Pacific is also the most secure, dry good performance, so that we can domestic nor do I feel. However, as opposed to a strong opponent, the United States needs a strong enough friends. Want to be Asian leaders, not only can not do without China, but also not open around China.
In this sense, the United States to return to the Asia-Pacific is not so terrible. The United States to do so, its core is not to contain China, but would like to achieve a balance in the Asia-Pacific region. The United States aware of the past 10 years, this balance in the Asia-Pacific substantial tilt towards China, if we do not take measures may in the future will tilt even more powerful. Of course, the objective can not be The Xu Meiguo completely dominate the Asia-Pacific region, China today is not the original, the United States a dominant I am afraid it is difficult to work.
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