Development and Reform Commission monitoring center: the market price of fertili
By high production costs and the use of fertilizer and other factors affect the peak season demand, this year, Fertilizer The overall price trend was steadily, but the average price level of the major fertilizer varieties decreased over the same period last year. Expected later this year, the overall trend of agricultural prices will remain basically stable, prices will drop some varieties.
Variation of agricultural market This year, the domestic agricultural market continues to show good momentum, chemical fertilizer market is better than the previous year, the market demand for active and adequate supply of resources, the bottom of the first half of the price from low to high from last year, in July after a come down. Specifically, the agricultural market presents the following characteristics.
Rapid growth of production, resource supply. This year, as coal, natural gas and other raw materials, and Electricity Supply more relaxed, business start rate of urea, together with some additional production capacity in operation, the first half of the rapid growth of urea production, and accelerate the trend shows growth quarter by quarter. According to statistics, total national production of urea during the first half (pack of pure nutrients, the same below) 10.71 million tons, up 11.8%, an increase of the highest level since 2001; supply and marketing system sales growth of 18.3% urea. In addition, the state increased the number of discount in the off-season reserves, while exports also declined substantially (the first 5 months of urea exports fell by 38%). According to statistics, by the end of June, an increase of 24.8% urea inventories. Market, sufficient supply and demand and supply situation has improved.
Into 7-8 months, weakening demand. Enterprises had to adjust production, fertilizer production has decreased, but compared to last year's growth is still not small. Statistics show that in August the national fertilizer production (off net) 4,257,000 tons for March since monthly minimum output, an increase of 7.5% for the lowest monthly increase this year. From January to August, the National Fertilizer (100%) production reached 34,446,100 tons, up 12.60% over last year. N Decline was more obvious in August output of 3.079 million tons, up 7.4%, also the lowest monthly increase this year. However, the rapid growth of urea production, an increase of 11.9%. Phosphate fertilizer production steady, yield 96.1 million tons, an increase of 11.2%. Potash production to 21.6 million tons, down 5.1%. Pesticide Production continued rapid growth in August production was 94,000 tons, an increase of 33%. Among them, pesticides, fungicides, Herbicide Output of 4 million tons, 08,000 tons and 2.4 million tons, up respectively 22.1%, 36.5% and 61%.
Steady growth in demand. In recent years, the state continued to increase, "Agriculture" and support, Liang Bu, improved varieties of agricultural subsidies and other preferential policies introduced and implemented to enhance the enthusiasm of farmers to grow grain, fertilizer demand in rural areas continued to increase. Demand increased, nitrogen Consumption Structure changes, the market demand for high concentrations of urea nitrogen increased, while the lower nutrient demand is declining ammonium bicarbonate, urea, ammonium bicarbonate alternative to the increased market demand for urea. In addition, in recent years the rise of high nitrogen Fertilizer Also increased the demand for urea.
Price changes showed strong seasonal characteristics. Throughout recent years, agricultural price movements, show a strong seasonal feature, this year is no exception. Use of off-season in the first quarter, coupled with the market dealers and Dongchu business confidence, leading to very low market price significantly lower than the level a year earlier. After March, as spring approaches, the rapid increase in demand and prices rose rapidly. At the same time, the state Dongchu business Dongchu situation forthcoming inspection, there is no pre-storage companies have to market fertilizer Dongchu Purchase , Which amplified the demand for fertilizer season, so prices rise faster and reach the level of last year. In June, the average market price of urea reached 1900 yuan / ton, higher than the year 250 yuan / ton. 1 to June the average price of 1,800 yuan urea / ton, down slightly by 1.8% year on year. In the first half, the market price of urea has a clear upward trend. Prices from low to high, overall a higher level.
7 , due to falling demand production of a sustained, rapid increase in urea prices fell sharply trend. Both ex-factory price or wholesale markets, most areas have achieved the rate per ton fell from 150 to 300 yuan, or even more than the 400. In August, the domestic fertilizer output reduction, market conditions in the doldrums, nitrogen, phosphate and compound fertilizer prices have different levels of decline. Urea decreased sales, business inventories rose in August than in July urea prices fell 1.6%, thus influencing the ammonium bicarbonate, ammonium chloride, ammonium phosphate fertilizer, and the trend of the fertilizer market had a significant impact.
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