Fighting To Identify The Direction Of The Market
If you know the problems of trading, you can simply avoid them. Tiny mistakes are inescapable , for example entering the wrong stock symbol or wrongly setting a buy level. But these are excusable, and, with luck, even profit-making. What you’ve got to avoid nonetheless, are the mistakes due to terrible judgement instead of easy errors. These are the lethal mistakes which ruin complete trading careers rather than just 1 or 2 trades. To avoid these problems, you’ve got to watch yourself closely and stay tenacious.
Think about trading mistakes like driving a vehicle on icy roads : if you know that driving on ice is perilous, you can avoid traveling in a snow typhoon. But if you do not know about the risks of ice, you could drive as if there were not any threat, only realizing your mistake once you’re already off the road.
One of the first mistakes new traders make is sinking a large amount of wasted effort and time into forecasting legit trends. Traders can use extraordinarily difficult formulas, indictors, and systems to spot possible trends. They will finish up plotting so many signals on a single screen that they can not even see the prices any more. The issue is that they lose sight of straightforward calls about when to buy and when to sell.
The mistake here is trying to understand too much at once. Some people think that the more complicated their system is, the better it will be at “predicting” trends. This is almost always an illusion. Depending too much on complicated systems makes you completely lose sight of the basic principle of trading: buy when the market is going up and sell when it’s going down. Since you want to buy and sell early in a trend, the most important thing to discover is when a trend begins. Complicated indicators only obscure this information.
Do not forget to keep it simplistic : one of the most simple paths to identify a trend is by using trendlines. Trendlines are easy techniques to tell you when you’re seeing an uptrend ( when costs make a collection of higher highs and higher lows ) and downtrends ( when costs show lower highs and lower lows ). Trendlines show you the lower boundaries of an uptrend or the higher boundaries of a downtrend and, most significantly, will help you see when a trend starts to modify.
Once you get comfortable plotting trendlines, you can use them to decide when to start taking action. Only after using these early indicators should you start using more specific strategies to determine your exact buy or sell point. Moving averages, turtle trading, and the Relative Strength Index (RSI) are some examples of more complex indicators and systems that are available. But only use them after you’ve determined if the market is trending or not.
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