Comments: the basic needs of home appliances to the countryside to boost domesti
New Year, Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao again in the enterprise line, continued to expand "faith journey." Wen said that currently the State Council is organizing relevant departments to formulate two plans: One plan to expand domestic demand, 10; Second, 10 major industry restructuring and revitalization. In the research process, Wen government subsidies to promote the adoption of particular concern "
Home Appliances
Going down "implementation of the policy, and that the appliances to the countryside this year, state investment subsidy of 9.0 billion from last year to 150 billion, could stimulate domestic demand more than 1000 billion yuan. This policy should adhere to at least 5 years appliance sales can pull more than 500 billion yuan.
From the "10 rules to expand domestic demand," to "10 major industry restructuring and revitalization plan." Financial investment from 4 trillion to 18 trillion local funding, for some time, "to expand domestic demand" as the core of economic life. This is a long time, China's heavy investment and exports, distribution and consumption of contempt anyway. At present, our existing system of distorted distribution of wealth, investment and consumption than the imbalance between the export market due to the grim situation at the same time, economic growth, weak successor. According to statistics, China's first distribution of income continued to decline in the proportion of workers compensation, consumption accounts for 50% share of GDP. At the same time, Since 2008, due to rising production costs, appreciation of the RMB exchange rate, energy and raw material prices, over-reliance on investment and exports in China's economic growth model has been a serious challenge, second half of 2008 financial crisis, triggered a demand for more down, trade protectionism and other issues. These factors together constitute the domestic demand, overcapacity and external problems.
Must be noted that China's export manufacturing to the production of basic consumer goods, hence the expansion of domestic demand, absorb the surplus of export capacity, must pull the basic consumption needs of low-income groups as a policy priority. Marginal propensity to consume from the analysis, the same revenue growth, low-income groups, the proportion invested in consumption is much higher than high-income groups. This is because low-income groups, expenditure structure, the basic means of livelihood for a large proportion accounted for. According to Lu Wang of China Reform Foundation's calculations, in 2006, cities and towns of different income groups, ranked from low to high consumption rates were 96%, 86%, 81%, 77%, 73%, 73%, 40%. Rural areas were 134%, 102%, 94%, 87%, 76% (cash expenses / cash receipts). That is, urban and rural low-income groups, 96% -134% for consumption, while the urban affluent 60% of their income into consumption are not.
Moreover, two sets of data comparing urban and rural areas, we can find the income level of urban consumption groups were lower than in rural areas. This means narrowing the gap between urban and rural consumption should be the top priority of expanding domestic demand, we all know, urban and rural dual economic structure to prevent the market price of labor and resources, and hold down the "Made in China" and export prices also depressed the national income growth. Coupled with low purchase prices of agricultural products, agricultural subsidies, not increase delay. Lead to serious underestimation of rural income situation.
To change this situation, we must fundamentally change our country's income distribution system, and eliminate the urban-rural boundaries, to promote labor, land price formation mechanism of the market. However, these changes occur in the short term is difficult. Expediency, is subsidized by the state to be depressed income of rural residents to subsidize the export of subsidized rural. This is currently being implemented, "home appliances to the countryside" policy. On the one hand, "home appliances to the countryside" to transfer the export of surplus production capacity, at the same time, it can improve the living standards of rural residents. According to statistics, every appliance penetration in rural areas increased by 1 percentage point will increase more than 250 million sets (pieces) requirements. Only
TV
For example, measured by per 1,000 yuan, increased by 1 percentage point increase in consumption of 2.5 billion years. According to the study, color TV,
Refrigerator
,
Washing machine
,
Air conditioning
,
Mobile
Home appliances such as rural coverage is only 20% of urban and rural households 37% of television sets, refrigerators penetration rate of 22.5% of rural households, rural households cell phone penetration rate is only 5%. With disposable income in rural areas continued to improve, bringing home appliances market space will be further expanded.
But it must be pointed out that the appliances to the countryside despite the effects of digesting the excess capacity, but its purpose is to subsidize the rural market, therefore, the policy of the end result should be placed so that farmers can get benefits, rather than producers benefit.
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