Concerned about the solar photovoltaic industry, opportunities for middle and lo
Low-carbon economy is strong support from States, sustainable use of solar energy as a clean can Energy , Show great potential for the development and application. Current solar photovoltaic industry has developed rapidly, showing both reduced costs and subsidies for healthy posture. Germany led the first half of the second half of reducing demand for photovoltaic concentration of the release of subsidies, but demand in other markets is expected to accelerate growth, medium and long term solar industry will remain strong demand, the PV industry is still optimistic about market prospects. From the sub-sectors, polysilicon serious overcapacity, prices are still down the next room, relatively weak profitability. Cost reductions and strong demand driven by potential for midstream and downstream industry can be concerned about the cost of ownership advantages of firms and scale.
Germany to stimulate demand Europe is the world's most important PV market, Germany is the top priority, 2009 the German solar energy Battery New installed capacity of up to 3.8GW (million kilowatts), total global installed base of more than half of the year, far exceeding market expectations 3GW, conservative estimate of this year, the country's installed capacity will reach 4GW, optimistic about the situation may reach
5GW. German government after the July 1 cut to 15-16% PV subsidies, to stimulate a lot of looting in the previous installation of the project launched to promote the short-term upsurge in demand. After the second half, with the short-term stimulus faded, demand uncertainty may increase.
The rapid development of emerging markets
Germany in the second half despite the reduction in subsidies, will lead the industry faces some uncertainty in demand, but the market is expected to occur outside Germany to speed up growth, which offset slower demand in Germany. U.S., Italian, Chinese, Japan's PV market is expected to accelerate development. The needs of the industry are likely to remain optimistic.
2009 China Solar Battery Production reached 2570MW, accounting for 37% of world production, is the world's largest photovoltaic output state. About 95% of the Chinese PV products in the market depends on the international and domestic market capacity of small, only the world's total PV installed capacity of less than 1%. However, we expect future growth is expected to accelerate.
Polysilicon prices are low Polysilicon is the main material for solar cells, its price from the 2008 peak of more than 400 U.S. dollars / kg significant downturn, the recent fluctuations between the dollar remained at 50-60. Domestic manufacturers generally cost 40-45 U.S. dollars / kg, is difficult to obtain high profits, compared to the cost of foreign firms in 30 dollars. Chinese polysilicon serious overcapacity, domestic production capacity of 44,000 tons has been completed, under construction production capacity 68,000 tons, the actual output in 2009 only 2 million tons, the future price of polysilicon still room for downward adjustment. With the upstream
slash costs, the non-silicon solar modules cost has risen to 60-70%, while China's cost advantages of non-silicon obvious benefit to the domestic photovoltaic industry to speed up the transfer. Concerned about the trade opportunities for middle and lower reaches
As production costs continue to decrease, and the long-term market demand, coupled with technological advances make solar photovoltaic electricity generation costs have been declining, the industry's long-term growth outlook. We give the industry a long-term "buy" rating, now more opportunities exist in the lower reaches of enterprises, especially with the size and cost advantages of batteries and components manufacturer, BIPV application manufacturers can focus on Industrial Solar
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