Domestic Demand Or To Reduce Agricultural Nitrogen

According to relevant statistics, as of 2009, China’s urea production capacity to 63 million tons, while demand is only about 50 million tons, more than 1,000 tons of excess capacity. The investment adviser Chemical industry Industry researchers often Yi Chi that in the future, China N In the agricultural markets will be reduced, our nitrogen fertilizer industry overcapacity problem difficult to solve the short term. Which exclude the impact of natural disasters, reduced demand for nitrogen fertilizer market, mainly in the following areas.

First, China’s cultivated land area is reducing year by year. Because with the acceleration of urbanization, most of the rural labor force to run the city, some land nobody farming, and some houses and roads are also a large number of cultivated land, arable land becomes less and less, plus the worsening pollution, poor soils of serious, some land has been unable to farm. According to prediction, by 2030, China’s arable land will be reduced by 7%. Although the recent state

raised the minimum purchasing price of grain, but to stimulate people’s enthusiasm and a limited role in farming. Due to the current price level and the people’s living standard than the purchase price of food increased the gains can not meet people’s material needs of people who are willing to continue farming farming, do not want or are willing to get out of rural farming to seek other sources of income. Therefore, in the next few years, China’s grain production will not be a large area growth, the demand for nitrogen fertilizer will not have a large natural increase.

Secondly, due to the long-term abuse of nitrogen fertilizer, nitrogen fertilizer pollution issues were put on the agenda. According to the Investment Advisor “issued by China’s nitrogenous fertilizer industry, 2010-2015 Investment Analysis and Prediction of the report” shows that China now accounts for 7% of the world’s arable land, 35% of global consumption of nitrogen fertilizer, directly led to 90% of farmland in China occurred different levels of acidification. Soil and Fertilizer Institute, Chinese Academy of Agricultural Sciences in the survey results, the country has 17 provinces, the average nitrogen application rate exceeded the ceiling of the internationally recognized 225 kg / ha. The Henan Province Department of Agriculture survey also shows that the province each year more than 300 tons of fertilizer application, only 1 / 3 absorbed by crops, while others are, or into the atmosphere, or Shen in the soil of farmland ecological environment caused great damage to people’s living environment has caused enormous pollution.

Therefore, the relevant state departments will be for the use of nitrogen fertilizer to take certain measures, for example, is to promote the implementation of Fertilization methods and promote the use of new Organic Bio-fertilizer And so can reduce the abuse of nitrogen, thus a certain impact on nitrogen fertilizer market.

In addition, people have gradually realized that too much nitrogen has been unable to rapidly increase food production in the future, with the popularization of scientific knowledge with fertilizer and reasonable fertilization people awareness on the use of nitrogen fertilizer will be reduced.

Released, according to the Investment Adviser “2010-2015 China Fertilizer Industry Investment Analysis and Prediction of the report” shows that 60 years of the 20th century, the average yield of grain per kg fertilizer, 20-22 kg; to 70 years the average yield per kg of fertilizer 8-10 kg of grain; now the average yield of grain per kg 5-8 kg of fertilizer. For example, in 1981-2008 years, but never China’s nitrogen fertilizer consumption of 11.18 million tons to 32.92 million tons, an increase of nearly 2-fold, while China’s grain output is up from 325 million tons to 529 million tons, growth of only 63 %.

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